Charlton appear to have turned a corner with the help of Appleton's experienced management, and we can envisage them inflicting a fourth defeat in five games on their opponents.
Exeter began the campaign in fine form but they have since dropped off to a large degree in recent weeks, with their natural level around mid-table likely to be coming to the fore.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
-0.44) 
0.44) 
