Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.