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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Oxford United |
27.13% | 26.46% | 46.41% |
Both teams to score 49.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.08% | 54.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.79% | 76.2% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.53% | 35.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.77% | 72.23% |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% | 23.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.27% | 57.72% |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 8.69% 2-1 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.62% 3-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.03% Total : 27.13% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 12.09% 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-2 @ 8.72% 1-3 @ 4.35% 0-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |