Accrington

2 - 1

Swindon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 24.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.