Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.