League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Mar 26, 2023 at 1pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
1 - 0
Sheff Weds

Garrick (35')
Bunker (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

James (48')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 4-2 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, March 21 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-3 Sheffield Wednesday

The odds are firmly against Forest Green claiming a positive result on Sunday, but Ferguson will take optimism from Sheffield Wednesday's minor blip in their last two league matches. However, we expect the Owls to bounce back with a comfortable victory at the New Lawn and resume their push to win the third-tier title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.68%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
18.23% ( 0.22)	22.26% ( 0.16)	59.51% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 51.04% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.89% (

-0.33)

47.1% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.66% (

-0.3)

69.34% (

0.3)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.36% (

0.06)

39.64% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.68% (

0.06)

76.32% (

-0.06)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.56% (

-0.24)

15.44% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.71% (

-0.44)

44.29% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 18.23%

Sheffield Wednesday 59.51%

Draw 22.25%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 18.23%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.25%	0-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.65% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.15% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 59.51%