Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 71.09%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 10.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.