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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
36.98% ( -0.01) | 25.59% ( -0.02) | 37.43% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.67% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.65% ( 0.11) | 48.35% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.51% ( 0.1) | 70.49% ( -0.1) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.48% ( 0.04) | 25.51% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.63% ( 0.06) | 60.36% ( -0.06) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.73% ( 0.07) | 25.26% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.97% ( 0.09) | 60.02% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.98% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |