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Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Forest Green Rovers

Plymouth
2 - 0
Forest Green

Bolton (7'), Mumba (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Keeffe (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Forest Green Rovers

Knowing they have no more room for error with the gap to Ipswich reduced to two points, Plymouth will be desperate to return to winning ways on home turf at the weekend and should have more than enough quality to see off a Forest Green Rovers side lacking any confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawForest Green Rovers
70.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 17.3% (-0.012 -0.01) 12.11% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.73% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.77% (0.024999999999999 0.02)37.22% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.57% (0.027000000000001 0.03)59.43% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.6% (0.010999999999996 0.01)9.4% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.38% (0.027000000000001 0.03)31.62% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)78.27% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 70.59%
    Forest Green Rovers 12.11%
    Draw 17.3%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawForest Green Rovers
2-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.55% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 5.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 4.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.42% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-1 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 70.59%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.3%
1-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-1 @ 3.43% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 12.11%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Forest Green

Plymouth Argyle
90.9%
Draw
4.5%
Forest Green Rovers
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Forest Green
0-3
Plymouth

Hendry (74')
Azaz (18'), Mumba (27'), Ennis (61')
Mumba (84')
Nov 16, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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