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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 3-0 (10.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | MK Dons |
74.3% ( -0.02) | 16.8% ( 0.01) | 8.9% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 42.3% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.46% ( -0.02) | 44.53% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.09% ( -0.02) | 66.9% ( 0.02) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.6% ( -0.01) | 10.4% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.07% ( -0.02) | 33.93% ( 0.02) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.21% ( -0) | 52.78% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.49% ( -0) | 86.51% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | MK Dons |
2-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.84% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 74.29% | 1-1 @ 7.94% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.87% Other @ 0.51% Total : 16.8% | 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.54% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 8.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |