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League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
MK Dons

Sheff Weds
5 - 2
MK Dons

Windass (9'), Smith (54' pen., 74'), Gregory (64'), Byers (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Leko (2'), Eisa (24')
McEachran (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sheffield Wednesday and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 5-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 MK Dons

 With far more momentum and quality than their visitors, we can only envisage Sheffield Wednesday extending their eye-catching run of form with another relatively comfortable triumph at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 8.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 3-0 (10.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawMK Dons
74.3% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 16.8% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 8.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 42.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)44.53% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)66.9% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)10.4% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)33.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)52.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)86.51% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 74.29%
    MK Dons 8.9%
    Draw 16.8%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawMK Dons
2-0 @ 14.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 6% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-0 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 74.29%
1-1 @ 7.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.87%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 16.8%
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-2 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 8.9%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs MK Dons

Sheffield Wednesday
88.5%
Draw
3.8%
MK Dons
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
0-1
Sheff Weds
Windass (22' pen.)
Ihiekwe (45+2'), Bannan (67'), Paterson (76'), Dele-Bashiru (80')
Apr 16, 2022 7.45pm
MK Dons
2-3
Sheff Weds
Parrott (40'), Twine (90+6')
Darling (71'), Coventry (83')
Berahino (10'), Gregory (20'), Bannan (30')
Storey (59'), Palmer (90+1'), Johnson (90+7')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Sheff Weds
2-1
MK Dons
Gregory (83'), Windass (90+3')
Palmer (5')
Twine (47')
Baldwin (2'), Kioso (90+1')
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
Sheff Weds
0-0
MK Dons

Lees (78'), Hooper (79'), Forestieri (81'), Pudil (87')
Wallace (84')

Maynard (91')
Dec 15, 2015 7.45pm
MK Dons
2-1
Sheff Weds
Baker (25'), Maynard (50')
Hooper (77')
Forestieri (35'), Lopez (43')
> Match Report
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
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14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
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> League One Full Table


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