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League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
MK Dons

Sheff Weds
5 - 2
MK Dons

Windass (9'), Smith (54' pen., 74'), Gregory (64'), Byers (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Leko (2'), Eisa (24')
McEachran (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sheffield Wednesday and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 5-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 MK Dons

With far more momentum and quality than their visitors, we can only envisage Sheffield Wednesday extending their eye-catching run of form with another relatively comfortable triumph at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 8.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 3-0 (10.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawMK Dons
74.3% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 16.8% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 8.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 42.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)44.53% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)66.9% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)10.4% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)33.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)52.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)86.51% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 74.29%
    MK Dons 8.9%
    Draw 16.8%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawMK Dons
2-0 @ 14.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 6% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-0 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 74.29%
1-1 @ 7.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.87%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 16.8%
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-2 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 8.9%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs MK Dons

Sheffield Wednesday
88.5%
Draw
3.8%
MK Dons
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
0-1
Sheff Weds
Windass (22' pen.)
Ihiekwe (45+2'), Bannan (67'), Paterson (76'), Dele-Bashiru (80')
Apr 16, 2022 7.45pm
MK Dons
2-3
Sheff Weds
Parrott (40'), Twine (90+6')
Darling (71'), Coventry (83')
Berahino (10'), Gregory (20'), Bannan (30')
Storey (59'), Palmer (90+1'), Johnson (90+7')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Sheff Weds
2-1
MK Dons
Gregory (83'), Windass (90+3')
Palmer (5')
Twine (47')
Baldwin (2'), Kioso (90+1')
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
Sheff Weds
0-0
MK Dons

Lees (78'), Hooper (79'), Forestieri (81'), Pudil (87')
Wallace (84')

Maynard (91')
Dec 15, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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