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League One
Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brisbane Road
Northampton Town

Leyton Orient
4 - 3
Northampton

O'Neill (35'), Forde (58'), Sotiriou (80', 90+7')
El Mizouni (21'), Brown (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Leonard (45+1'), Bowie (77'), Simpson (83')
Brady (22'), Gape (31'), Guthrie (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Bolton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 1-0 Northampton Town

 Northampton have struggled in their last three outings and could not take advantage of an extra man against Bolton. Despite Leyton's defeat last time out, we think they are still the team to beat in this fixture and should edge it at the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawNorthampton Town
54.63% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 24.68% (-0.041 -0.04) 20.69% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.74% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45% (0.101 0.1)53.55% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (0.084 0.08)75.06% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (0.073000000000008 0.07)19.54% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.56% (0.12 0.12)51.44% (-0.121 -0.12)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.34% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)40.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.75% (0.004999999999999 0)77.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 54.63%
    Northampton Town 20.69%
    Draw 24.67%
Leyton OrientDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 12.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 20.69%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Northampton

Leyton Orient
76.0%
Draw
12.0%
Northampton Town
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
2-2
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (49', 52' pen.)
Burge (81')
Bowie (58')
Hunt (14'), Forde (90+6')
Happe (10'), Cooper (19'), Turns (90+7')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Northampton
1-0
Leyton Orient
Fox (51')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leyton Orient
0-0
Northampton
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Leyton Orient
2-4
Northampton
Archibald (45+1'), Brown (50')
Ogie (84')
Pinnock (19'), Guthrie (32'), Eppiah (38', 45+3')
Hoskins (29'), McWilliams (41'), Pinnock (43'), Sowerby (75'), Rose (84')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
1-0
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (41')

Kyprianou (52'), Wood (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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