League One

League One | Gameweek 33

Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Brisbane Road

Leyton Orient
4 - 3
Northampton

O'Neill (35'), Forde (58'), Sotiriou (80', 90+7')
El Mizouni (21'), Brown (41')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Leonard (45+1'), Bowie (77'), Simpson (83')
Brady (22'), Gape (31'), Guthrie (90+6')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Bolton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leyton Orient 1-0 Northampton Town

Northampton have struggled in their last three outings and could not take advantage of an extra man against Bolton. Despite Leyton's defeat last time out, we think they are still the team to beat in this fixture and should edge it at the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton Orient	Draw	Northampton Town
54.63% ( 0.09)	24.68% ( -0.04)	20.69% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 47.74% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.45% (

0.1)

53.55% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.94% (

0.08)

75.06% (

-0.09)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.46% (

0.07)

19.54% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.56% (

0.12)

51.44% (

-0.12)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.34% (

0.01)

40.66% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.75% (

77.25% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Leyton Orient 54.63%

Northampton Town 20.69%

Draw 24.67%

Leyton Orient	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 12.97% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 54.63%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 20.69%