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League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Leyton Orient

Northampton
2 - 2
Leyton Orient

Hoskins (49', 52' pen.)
Burge (81')
Bowie (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hunt (14'), Forde (90+6')
Happe (10'), Cooper (19'), Turns (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-2 Leyton Orient

Northampton have suffered defeat in two varying styles at Shrewsbury Town and Bolton over the past fortnight, with Cobblers supporters now expecting a response at Sixfields in this one. Orient are starting to show why they were the best of the bunch in League Two last term, and we are backing them to record a third win in four games across all competitions on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
38.41% (-0.604 -0.6) 27.08% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 34.51% (0.64700000000001 0.65)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.241 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.21% (0.258 0.26)54.79% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.9% (0.212 0.21)76.1% (-0.215 -0.22)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)27.72% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (-0.286 -0.29)63.29% (0.281 0.28)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (0.545 0.55)30.08% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.78% (0.651 0.65)66.22% (-0.655 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 38.41%
    Leyton Orient 34.5%
    Draw 27.08%
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 10.7% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.86% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.41%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.34% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.12 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.088 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 34.5%

How you voted: Northampton vs Leyton Orient

Northampton Town
Draw
Leyton Orient
Northampton Town
40.0%
Draw
10.0%
Leyton Orient
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Leyton Orient
2-4
Northampton
Archibald (45+1'), Brown (50')
Ogie (84')
Pinnock (19'), Guthrie (32'), Eppiah (38', 45+3')
Hoskins (29'), McWilliams (41'), Pinnock (43'), Sowerby (75'), Rose (84')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
1-0
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (41')

Kyprianou (52'), Wood (90')
Jan 21, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Leyton Orient
1-1
Northampton
Wright (85' pen.)
Cisse (45')
Dayton (89')
Watson (43')
Goode (35'), Anderson (59'), Cornell (76'), Martin (95')
Wharton (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham38278365263989
2Wrexham40239856322478
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe392112665362975
4Charlton AthleticCharlton402191055361972
5Stockport CountyStockport402011958362271
6Bolton WanderersBolton39196146157463
7Reading391711115550562
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield391871452391361
9Blackpool4015151062511160
10Leyton Orient391851655401559
11Barnsley40159165457-354
12Lincoln CityLincoln401411155446853
13Stevenage391310163542-749
14Peterborough UnitedPeterborough39139176166-548
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham39139174449-548
16Exeter CityExeter39139174254-1248
17Mansfield TownMansfield39138184654-847
18Wigan AthleticWigan381111163438-444
19Northampton TownNorthampton401013173859-2143
20Bristol Rovers40126224165-2442
21Burton Albion39912184156-1539
22Crawley TownCrawley4099224775-2836
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge40711223965-2632
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3978243566-3129


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