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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Burton Albion

Lincoln
0 - 1
Burton Albion


O'Connor (49'), Hamilton (87'), Bayliss (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Webster (90+2')
Kalinauskas (70'), Dodgson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Burton Albion

Although Burton are the form team heading into this contest, we cannot ignore the manner of Lincoln's win at Mansfield. With that in mind, we are backing Skubala's side to come through with a hard-fought victory, perhaps courtesy of a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBurton Albion
52.43% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 26.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 20.9% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.71% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03)60.33% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.51% (0.024999999999999 0.02)80.49% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (0.025000000000006 0.03)23.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87% (0.036000000000001 0.04)57.13% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.37% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.58% (0.0019999999999989 0)80.42% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 52.43%
    Burton Albion 20.9%
    Draw 26.66%
Lincoln CityDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 15.04%
2-0 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 52.43%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 10.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 8.37% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 0.98%
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 20.9%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Burton Albion
2-3
Lincoln
Godwin-Malife (5'), Bodin (41')
Erhahon (90')
O'Connor (9', 86'), Darikwa (22')
Duffy (43')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Burton Albion
0-1
Lincoln

Moon (6'), Oshilaja (17'), Brayford (20'), Powell (45+1'), Sweeney (49'), Bola (67'), Kamwa (74'), Ola-Adebomi (90+7')
Hackett (54')
Mitchell (23'), House (90+3'), Sorensen (90+6')
Mitchell (29')
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Lincoln
0-1
Burton Albion

Erhahon (80')
Mandroiu (55')
Burroughs (58' og.)
Powell (26'), Hughes (53'), Sweeney (55'), Baah (81')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Burton Albion
3-0
Lincoln
Hughes (5'), Smith (14'), Adeboyejo (27' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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