We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Burton Albion
Although Burton are the form team heading into this contest, we cannot ignore the manner of Lincoln's win at Mansfield. With that in mind, we are backing Skubala's side to come through with a hard-fought victory, perhaps courtesy of a late goal.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.