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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Lincoln City |
44.05% ( 0.01) | 25.9% ( -0) | 30.05% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.77% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.74% ( 0.01) | 51.26% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.91% ( 0.01) | 73.09% ( -0.01) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.83% ( 0.01) | 23.17% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.94% ( 0.01) | 57.06% ( -0.01) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.69% | 31.31% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.33% | 67.67% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.04% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |