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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Lincoln City

Burton Albion
3 - 0
Lincoln

Hughes (5'), Smith (14'), Adeboyejo (27' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)

Diamond (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Lincoln City

 Burton have failed to win their last seven league games, but after drawing four of their previous five matches in League One, we think that they will hold Lincoln to a draw on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawLincoln City
44.05% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 25.9% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 30.05% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.77% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74% (0.010000000000005 0.01)51.26% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)23.17% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94% (0.012999999999998 0.01)57.06% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.69%31.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.33%67.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 44.04%
    Lincoln City 30.05%
    Draw 25.89%
Burton AlbionDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 30.05%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Lincoln

Burton Albion
19.4%
Draw
41.7%
Lincoln City
38.9%
36
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Lincoln
1-2
Burton Albion
Marquis (49')
Powell (56'), Hughes (80')
Oshilaja (19'), Kokolo (51')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
1-2
Lincoln
Shaughnessy (86')
Bostwick (78')
Fiorini (10'), Scully (50')
Eyoma (65'), Montsma (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Burton Albion
0-1
Lincoln

Fondop (88'), Taylor (90+3')
Eyoma (27')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Lincoln
5-1
Burton Albion
Howarth (4'), Johnson (7', 63'), Scully (56'), Anderson (81')
Walsh (60'), Johnson (80')
Hemmings (74')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Lincoln
3-2
Burton Albion
Hopper (21', 38')
Bostwick (61')
Powell (6', 30')
O'Toole (61'), Buxton (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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