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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Lincoln City

Burton Albion
3 - 0
Lincoln

Hughes (5'), Smith (14'), Adeboyejo (27' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)

Diamond (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Lincoln City

 Burton have failed to win their last seven league games, but after drawing four of their previous five matches in League One, we think that they will hold Lincoln to a draw on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawLincoln City
44.05% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 25.9% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 30.05% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.77% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74% (0.010000000000005 0.01)51.26% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)23.17% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94% (0.012999999999998 0.01)57.06% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.69%31.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.33%67.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 44.04%
    Lincoln City 30.05%
    Draw 25.89%
Burton AlbionDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 30.05%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Lincoln

Burton Albion
19.4%
Draw
41.7%
Lincoln City
38.9%
36
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Lincoln
1-2
Burton Albion
Marquis (49')
Powell (56'), Hughes (80')
Oshilaja (19'), Kokolo (51')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
1-2
Lincoln
Shaughnessy (86')
Bostwick (78')
Fiorini (10'), Scully (50')
Eyoma (65'), Montsma (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Burton Albion
0-1
Lincoln

Fondop (88'), Taylor (90+3')
Eyoma (27')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Lincoln
5-1
Burton Albion
Howarth (4'), Johnson (7', 63'), Scully (56'), Anderson (81')
Walsh (60'), Johnson (80')
Hemmings (74')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Lincoln
3-2
Burton Albion
Hopper (21', 38')
Bostwick (61')
Powell (6', 30')
O'Toole (61'), Buxton (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham20153237162148
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe21145246222447
3Wrexham22136333151845
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield21133535181742
5Stockport CountyStockport22106634231136
6Reading2110473431334
7Barnsley229673131033
8Mansfield TownMansfield209472622431
9Lincoln CityLincoln228772826231
10Bolton WanderersBolton209472931-231
11Charlton AthleticCharlton218672520530
12Exeter CityExeter219392223-130
13Leyton Orient218492620628
14Wigan AthleticWigan217682018227
15Blackpool217683033-327
16Stevenage207581520-526
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2173113840-224
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham206591922-323
19Bristol Rovers2164111932-1322
20Northampton TownNorthampton2256112238-1621
21Crawley TownCrawley2154122036-1619
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2145122137-1617
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2143142241-1915
24Burton Albion2126131734-1712
> League One Full Table


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