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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Peterborough United

Lincoln
5 - 1
Peterborough

Jefferies (12'), Bayliss (33'), Draper (55' pen.), Hayes (66' og.), Collins (82')
Bayliss (39'), O'Connor (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jade-Jones (60')
Johnston (37'), De Havilland (56'), Susoho (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, January 18 at 2pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Exeter
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-2 Peterborough United

Given Peterborough's dire defensive record, Lincoln are likely to score at some point on Saturday. However, considering the Imps struggled against Northampton, they could be overpowered by the Posh and may find it difficult to recover should they concede more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
46.73% (0.183 0.18) 25.15% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 28.12% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.99% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.23 0.23)49.12% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.208 0.21)71.19% (-0.203 -0.2)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.179 0.18)21.04% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (0.273 0.27)53.84% (-0.26799999999999 -0.27)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (0.037000000000006 0.04)31.62% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (0.042000000000002 0.04)68.03% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 46.73%
    Peterborough United 28.12%
    Draw 25.15%
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 10.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 46.73%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.66% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 28.12%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Peterborough

Lincoln City
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Peterborough United
25.0%
16
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Peterborough
1-1
Lincoln
Poku (65')
Collins (44'), Curtis (60'), Sparkes (90+7')
House (33')
Darikwa (52')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Lincoln
0-0
Peterborough
Hackett (21')
Ferguson (22'), Burrows (90+4')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Peterborough
2-0
Lincoln
Ajiboye (52'), Randall (83')
Ajiboye (90+3')

Roughan (45'), Mandroiu (57')
Mar 18, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 37
Lincoln
0-3
Peterborough
Clarke-Harris (28'), Taylor (67'), Ward (83')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Peterborough
4-0
Lincoln
Marriott (21', 50'), Clarke-Harris (29' pen., 43')
Kent (35')

O'Connor (28'), Garrick (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wrexham38228852302274
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe372011664362871
4Charlton AthleticCharlton381991049351466
5Stockport CountyStockport381811953351865
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Leyton Orient381851554381659
9Reading371611105246659
10Blackpool381315105750754
11Barnsley38158155254-253
12Lincoln CityLincoln381311145345850
13Stevenage381310153539-449
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham37129164245-345
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough37129165660-445
16Exeter CityExeter37129164051-1145
17Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
18Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
19Northampton TownNorthampton381012163756-1942
20Bristol Rovers38126203961-2242
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3889214071-3133
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3879223662-2630
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828


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