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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Lincoln City |
56.17% | 24.4% | 19.43% |
Both teams to score 46.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.04% | 53.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.6% | 75.41% |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.9% | 19.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.28% | 50.72% |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.73% | 42.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.33% | 78.67% |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 13.36% 2-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 5.26% 4-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.95% Total : 56.16% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.95% 1-2 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |