Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.