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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Portsmouth

MK Dons
1 - 1
Portsmouth

Eisa (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ogilvie (14')
Ogilvie (24'), Pack (26'), Raggett (54'), Bishop (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between MK Dons and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 2-2 MK Dons
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Forest Green
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-2 Portsmouth

Both teams will head into Friday's encounter in confident mood, but we think that playoff-chasing Pompey will have the extra quality needed to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawPortsmouth
31.1% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 26.61% (0.012 0.01) 42.29% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.06% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)53.69% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)75.18% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)31.81% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)68.25% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)25.11% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)59.81% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 31.1%
    Portsmouth 42.29%
    Draw 26.6%
MK DonsDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.1%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.74%
0-2 @ 7.63% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.29%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Portsmouth
3-2
MK Dons
Hackett-Fairchild (22'), Bishop (35' pen., 48' pen.)
Burns (19'), Eisa (61')
McEachran (38')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
MK Dons
Hirst (60')
Hirst (32'), Marquis (90+7')
Eisa (20'), Corbeanu (45')
Robson (52'), Harvie (90+8')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
MK Dons
1-0
Portsmouth
Fraser (41' pen.)
Lewington (31'), Jules (69')

Daniels (19'), Byers (90+4')
Whatmough (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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