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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Portsmouth

MK Dons
1 - 1
Portsmouth

Eisa (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ogilvie (14')
Ogilvie (24'), Pack (26'), Raggett (54'), Bishop (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between MK Dons and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 2-2 MK Dons
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Forest Green
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-2 Portsmouth

Both teams will head into Friday's encounter in confident mood, but we think that playoff-chasing Pompey will have the extra quality needed to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawPortsmouth
31.1% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 26.61% (0.012 0.01) 42.29% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.06% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)53.69% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)75.18% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)31.81% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)68.25% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)25.11% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)59.81% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 31.1%
    Portsmouth 42.29%
    Draw 26.6%
MK DonsDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.1%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.74%
0-2 @ 7.63% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.29%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Portsmouth
3-2
MK Dons
Hackett-Fairchild (22'), Bishop (35' pen., 48' pen.)
Burns (19'), Eisa (61')
McEachran (38')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
MK Dons
Hirst (60')
Hirst (32'), Marquis (90+7')
Eisa (20'), Corbeanu (45')
Robson (52'), Harvie (90+8')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
MK Dons
1-0
Portsmouth
Fraser (41' pen.)
Lewington (31'), Jules (69')

Daniels (19'), Byers (90+4')
Whatmough (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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