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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
MK Dons

Accrington
0 - 1
MK Dons


Nottingham (39'), Tharme (45+1'), Leigh (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kaikai (8')
Lewington (47'), Watson (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-0 MK Dons

MK Dons and Accrington Stanley are very evenly-matched, and so it is very difficult to pick a winner in Saturday's game. As such, we expect a very cagey match, akin to the encounter earlier this season, with the most likely result being a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMK Dons
36.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.5% (0.0020000000000024 0) 36.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)52.28% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)73.98% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)27.54% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)63.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (0.0039999999999907 0)27.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)62.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 36.67%
    MK Dons 36.83%
    Draw 26.49%
Accrington StanleyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.77% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 36.83%

How you voted: Accrington vs MK Dons

Accrington Stanley
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
MK Dons
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Accrington
Robson (30')
Johnson (61'), Lawrence (70')
McConville (78' pen.)
Astley (10'), Clark (43'), Hamilton (60'), McConville (68')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Accrington
Eisa (45'), O'Riley (85')
Darling (69'), Lewington (73'), Harvie (81'), Boateng (87')

Butcher (54'), Pell (60')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
3-2
Accrington
Jerome (6', 55'), O'Riley (90+2')
Charles (57'), Surman (62' og.)
Smyth (45'), Burgess (47'), Barclay (49'), Rodgers (67'), Morgan (80')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Accrington
2-1
MK Dons
Charles (8', 62')
Pritchard (43')
Morris (53')
Gladwin (20'), Kasumu (27'), Sorinola (49'), Harvie (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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