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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for MK Dons in this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | MK Dons |
36.67% ( -0.02) | 26.5% ( 0) | 36.83% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.57% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.71% ( -0.01) | 52.28% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.02% ( -0.01) | 73.98% ( 0.01) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.46% ( -0.01) | 27.54% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.94% ( -0.02) | 63.06% ( 0.02) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.55% ( 0) | 27.45% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.07% ( 0.01) | 62.93% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.67% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |