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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
MK Dons

Portsmouth
0 - 2
MK Dons


Hackett-Fairchild (56'), Dale (58'), Ogilvie (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Johnson (34'), Tucker (64')
Jules (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 4-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 MK Dons

Although Portsmouth are winless in five league games, they are yet to lose at home this season, and we think they will beat an MK Dons side that have lost their last three away matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawMK Dons
59.67% (-0.379 -0.38) 22.83% (0.215 0.22) 17.5% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 47.91% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (-0.609 -0.61)50.58% (0.607 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (-0.541 -0.54)72.5% (0.53800000000001 0.54)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)16.59% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6% (-0.619 -0.62)46.39% (0.615 0.62)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.44% (-0.165 -0.16)42.56% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.08% (-0.139 -0.14)78.92% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 59.66%
    MK Dons 17.5%
    Draw 22.83%
PortsmouthDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.68% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 11.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.82% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 59.66%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.171 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.83%
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.5%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs MK Dons

Portsmouth
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
MK Dons
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Portsmouth
3-2
MK Dons
Hackett-Fairchild (22'), Bishop (35' pen., 48' pen.)
Burns (19'), Eisa (61')
McEachran (38')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
MK Dons
Hirst (60')
Hirst (32'), Marquis (90+7')
Eisa (20'), Corbeanu (45')
Robson (52'), Harvie (90+8')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
MK Dons
1-0
Portsmouth
Fraser (41' pen.)
Lewington (31'), Jules (69')

Daniels (19'), Byers (90+4')
Whatmough (81')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Portsmouth
2-1
MK Dons
Naylor (2'), Harrison (23' pen.)
Naylor (88')
Fraser (12' pen.)
Lewington (68'), Jerome (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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