League One

League One | Gameweek 22

Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
0 - 2
MK Dons

Hackett-Fairchild (56'), Dale (58'), Ogilvie (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Johnson (34'), Tucker (64')
Jules (28')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Portsmouth 3-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 4-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 MK Dons

Although Portsmouth are winless in five league games, they are yet to lose at home this season, and we think they will beat an MK Dons side that have lost their last three away matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	MK Dons
59.67% ( -0.38)	22.83% ( 0.22)	17.5% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 47.91% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.42% (

-0.61)

50.58% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.5% (

-0.54)

72.5% (

0.54)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.41% (

-0.34)

16.59% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.6% (

-0.62)

46.39% (

0.62)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.44% (

-0.16)

42.56% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.08% (

-0.14)

78.92% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 59.66%

MK Dons 17.5%

Draw 22.83%

Portsmouth	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 59.66%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.83%	0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.5%