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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 16.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
62.5% ( 0.03) | 21.13% ( -0.01) | 16.37% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.91% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.63% ( 0.03) | 45.37% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.29% ( 0.02) | 67.71% ( -0.03) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.07% ( 0.02) | 13.93% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.62% ( 0.04) | 41.38% ( -0.04) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.15% ( -0.01) | 40.85% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.58% ( -0.01) | 77.42% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 62.49% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.13% | 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |