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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Portsmouth

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Portsmouth


Whelan (20'), Ward (36'), MacDonald (68')
Quansah (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bishop (18', 69' pen.)
Tunnicliffe (77'), Morrell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Portsmouth
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Portsmouth

 Pompey would have been buoyed by their midweek away victory, and after beating Bristol Rovers 3-1 in August, we think that the visitors will have the edge over their opponents on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPortsmouth
29.69% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 25.73% (-0.02 -0.02) 44.57% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.12% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (0.064999999999998 0.06)50.72% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (0.056000000000001 0.06)72.62% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.65% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (0.058000000000007 0.06)22.69% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (0.083000000000006 0.08)56.35% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 29.69%
    Portsmouth 44.57%
    Draw 25.73%
Bristol RoversDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 29.69%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 10.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.81% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.49% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 44.57%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Portsmouth

Bristol Rovers
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Portsmouth
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
3-1
Bristol Rovers
Ogilvie (32'), Pigott (82' pen.), Dale (90+2')
Pack (57'), Morrison (73'), Scarlett (88')
Collins (61')
Whelan (20'), Gibson (53'), Rossiter (72'), Finley (85'), Coutts (86')
Apr 24, 2021 1pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Curtis (27')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Bristol Rovers
3-1
Portsmouth
Ayunga (34', 44'), Leahy (70' pen.)
McCormick (6'), Williams (28')
Marquis (26')
Johnson (66'), Raggett (69')
Apr 21, 2020 7.45pm
Portsmouth
P-P
Bristol Rovers
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-2
Portsmouth
Rodman (78'), MacGillivray (93' og.)
Upson (29'), Ogogo (83')
Evans (9' pen.), Curtis (70')
Raggett (1'), McCrorie (39'), Curtis (69'), Burgess (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
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10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
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24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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