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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 25.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | MK Dons |
48.38% ( -0.41) | 26.34% ( 0.05) | 25.29% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 48.15% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.34% ( 0.07) | 55.67% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.19% ( 0.06) | 76.82% ( -0.06) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.96% ( -0.16) | 23.05% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.14% ( -0.23) | 56.87% ( 0.23) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.57% ( 0.36) | 37.44% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.78% ( 0.35) | 74.23% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 48.37% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.7% Total : 25.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |