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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 11
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
MK Dons

Lincoln
1 - 1
MK Dons

Mandroiu (5')
House (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maghoma (89')
Jules (39'), Leko (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 MK Dons

MK Dons will be determined to return to winning ways as they bid to move out of the relegation zone, but we think that they will have to settle for a point against a Lincoln side who are yet to lose a home league game this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawMK Dons
48.38% (-0.412 -0.41) 26.34% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 25.29% (0.364 0.36)
Both teams to score 48.15% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34% (0.073 0.07)55.67% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19% (0.059000000000001 0.06)76.82% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (-0.155 -0.16)23.05% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.14% (-0.229 -0.23)56.87% (0.234 0.23)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.57% (0.363 0.36)37.44% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (0.352 0.35)74.23% (-0.348 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 48.37%
    MK Dons 25.29%
    Draw 26.34%
Lincoln CityDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 9.29% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 48.37%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.29%

How you voted: Lincoln vs MK Dons

Lincoln City
61.3%
Draw
32.3%
MK Dons
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Lincoln
2-3
MK Dons
O'Hora (4' og.), Maguire (8' pen.)
McGrandles (43'), Bridcutt (60'), Eyoma (81'), Maguire (90+2')
Twine (60', 90'), O'Riley (75')
Twine (43'), Darling (79')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Lincoln
4-0
MK Dons
Johnson (48', 53', 59' pen.), Fisher (73' og.)
Poole (14'), Johnson (20')

Laird (39'), Kasumu (66'), Darling (72'), Harvie (87'), Lewington (90+5')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
MK Dons
1-2
Lincoln
Mason (58')
Harvie (25'), Houghton (45+3'), Cargill (64'), Brittain (69'), Kasumu (73')
Grant (11' pen.), Hopper (78')
Jones (54'), Morton (69'), Eyoma (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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