League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
1 - 1
MK Dons

Mandroiu (5')
House (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Maghoma (89')
Jules (39'), Leko (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 MK Dons

MK Dons will be determined to return to winning ways as they bid to move out of the relegation zone, but we think that they will have to settle for a point against a Lincoln side who are yet to lose a home league game this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	MK Dons
48.38% ( -0.41)	26.34% ( 0.05)	25.29% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 48.15% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.34% (

0.07)

55.67% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.19% (

0.06)

76.82% (

-0.06)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.96% (

-0.16)

23.05% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.14% (

-0.23)

56.87% (

0.23)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.57% (

0.36)

37.44% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.78% (

0.35)

74.23% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 48.37%

MK Dons 25.29%

Draw 26.34%

Lincoln City	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 48.37%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.7% Total : 25.29%