League One | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale1 - 0MK Dons
Coverage of the League One clash between Port Vale and MK Dons.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Port Vale
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | MK Dons |
49.03% ( 0.06) | 26.29% ( -0.03) | 24.68% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.75% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.1% ( 0.07) | 55.9% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.99% ( 0.06) | 77.01% ( -0.06) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( 0.06) | 22.85% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.42% ( 0.08) | 56.58% ( -0.09) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.9% ( 0.01) | 38.1% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.13% ( 0.01) | 74.87% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Port Vale 49.03%
MK Dons 24.68%
Draw 26.29%
| Port Vale | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 49.03% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 24.68% |
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
Form Guide
