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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Exeter City

Oxford Utd
3 - 0
Exeter

Rodrigues (8'), Brannagan (83' pen., 90+4' pen.)
Long (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aimson (82')
Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-9 Reading
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
44.06% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 25.13% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 30.81% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.67% (-0.322 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.33% (-0.412 -0.41)47.67% (0.412 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-0.382 -0.38)69.86% (0.381 0.38)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.199 -0.2)21.64% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (-0.305 -0.31)54.76% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (-0.23 -0.23)28.97% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (-0.288 -0.29)64.86% (0.288 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 44.06%
    Exeter City 30.81%
    Draw 25.13%
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.06%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.77% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.81% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 30.81%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Oxford Utd
0-1
Exeter
Nombe (79')
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (9'), Bodin (79', 88'), Brannagan (85')
Jay (89')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Exeter
2-4
Oxford Utd
Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
Exeter win 3-0 on penalties
Tillson (30')
Mackie (61')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Exeter
1-4
Oxford Utd
Nicholls (77')
Tillson (45')
Dunkley (8'), Bowery (41', 59'), MacDonald (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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