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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
45.03% ( -0.01) | 24.95% ( -0) | 30.01% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.83% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.74% ( 0.01) | 47.26% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.52% ( 0.01) | 69.48% ( -0.01) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.97% | 21.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.18% | 53.82% |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.7% ( 0.02) | 29.3% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.73% ( 0.02) | 65.27% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 45.03% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |