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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Oxford Utd
3 - 0
Shrewsbury

Stevens (17'), Brown (59'), Leigh (90+6')
Leigh (71'), Goodrham (80'), McEachran (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Anderson (47')
Anderson (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-0 Charlton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 3-1 Shrewsbury Town

 Oxford United are the more in-form side heading into this one, and the added advantage of playing on home turf makes them strong favourites. We are tipping the hosts to get the job done and come away with maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
59.08% (-1.152 -1.15) 22.6% (0.383 0.38) 18.32% (0.765 0.77)
Both teams to score 50.11% (0.239 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57% (-0.417 -0.42)48.42% (0.413 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44% (-0.381 -0.38)70.56% (0.37700000000001 0.38)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.96% (-0.52799999999999 -0.53)16.04% (0.524 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.6% (-0.972 -0.97)45.4% (0.968 0.97)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.69% (0.65300000000001 0.65)40.31% (-0.659 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.06% (0.592 0.59)76.94% (-0.595 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 59.06%
    Shrewsbury Town 18.32%
    Draw 22.6%
Oxford UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.82% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.61% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.115 -0.11)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 59.06%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 22.6%
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.202 0.2)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.168 0.17)
0-2 @ 2.67% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.32%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Shrewsbury

Oxford United
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Shrewsbury Town
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Oxford Utd
0-1
Shrewsbury
Bowman (74')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Shrewsbury
1-1
Oxford Utd
Pennington (65')
Brannagan (15')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Shrewsbury
1-2
Oxford Utd
Bowman (60')
Pennington (82')
Taylor (11'), Brannagan (82' pen.)
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Oxford Utd
2-0
Shrewsbury
Sykes (46'), Brannagan (88')
> Preview
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Shrewsbury
2-3
Oxford Utd
Pennington (16'), Vela (25')
Walker (62')
Lee (3'), Henry (68'), Agyei (85')
Agyei (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
> League One Full Table


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