EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
0 - 2
Crystal Palace

McGinty (6'), Bate (51'), Johnson (55'), Long (69'), Brannagan (80'), Smyth (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Edouard (71'), Milivojevic (90' pen.)
Mateta (26'), Milivojevic (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Oxford United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

Last Six:

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Shrewsbury Town	5	-3	5
19	Oxford United	5	-2	4
20	Forest Green Rovers	4	-3	4

Crystal Palace

Last Six:

Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Brentford	3	3	4
9	Crystal Palace	3	0	4
10	Nottingham Forest	3	-1	4

We said: Oxford United 0-2 Crystal Palace

Oxford have proven they can hang around in these elimination games, but the Eagles have a few attackers of the highest quality, who Viera can bring on if need be to make the difference in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Crystal Palace in this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Crystal Palace
38.64% ( -0.56)	24.57% ( 0.14)	36.79% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 59.3% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.34% (

-0.63)

43.66% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.95% (

-0.62)

66.05% (

0.62)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

-0.56)

22.51% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.92% (

-0.84)

56.08% (

0.84)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53% (

-0.05)

23.47% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.51% (

-0.09)

57.49% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 38.64%

Crystal Palace 36.79%

Draw 24.56%

Oxford United	Draw	Crystal Palace
2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.64%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56%	1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 36.79%