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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Oxford United

Cheltenham
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Perry (63')
Chapman (43'), Taylor (84'), Ferry (90'), Lloyd (90+3'), Norton (90+4')
Chapman (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brannagan (66', 86' pen.)
Joseph (61'), Bodin (70'), Taylor (90'), Brannagan (90+4')
Bodin (74')
Coverage of the League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawOxford United
20.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 23.3% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 56.23% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 51.49% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.61% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)48.38% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)70.52% (0.079000000000008 0.08)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)37.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.28%74.72%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)17.01% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.85% (-0.108 -0.11)47.15% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 20.46%
    Oxford United 56.22%
    Draw 23.3%
Cheltenham TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 6.26% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.37% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.03% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.73% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.54%
3-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 20.46%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 11.43% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 10.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 56.22%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Cheltenham
Sykes (82')
Sykes (32')
Wright (48')
Thomas (45'), Blair (58'), Freestone (71'), Evans (72'), Raglan (77')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
1-0
Oxford Utd
May (68')
Thomas (65'), Blair (88')

Long (90+4')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Cheltenham
1-1
Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd win 4-1 on penalties
Dawson (64')
Varney (39'), Alcock (50'), Addai (90')
Brannagan (45')
Brannagan (36')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
3-4
Cheltenham
Johnson (21'), Obika (31'), Fernandez (42')
Nelson (73'), Ledson (80'), Ruffels (93')
Eisa (9', 99'), Wright (66', 90')
Storer (78')
Jan 3, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
Cheltenham
Burns (20')
Whing (11')
Dunn (40'), Stewart (45')
Jones (16'), Stewart (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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