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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Oxford United

Cheltenham
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Perry (63')
Chapman (43'), Taylor (84'), Ferry (90'), Lloyd (90+3'), Norton (90+4')
Chapman (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brannagan (66', 86' pen.)
Joseph (61'), Bodin (70'), Taylor (90'), Brannagan (90+4')
Bodin (74')
Coverage of the League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawOxford United
20.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 23.3% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 56.23% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 51.49% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.61% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)48.38% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)70.52% (0.079000000000008 0.08)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)37.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.28%74.72%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)17.01% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.85% (-0.108 -0.11)47.15% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 20.46%
    Oxford United 56.22%
    Draw 23.3%
Cheltenham TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 6.26% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.37% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.03% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.73% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.54%
3-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 20.46%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 11.43% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 10.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 56.22%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Cheltenham
Sykes (82')
Sykes (32')
Wright (48')
Thomas (45'), Blair (58'), Freestone (71'), Evans (72'), Raglan (77')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
1-0
Oxford Utd
May (68')
Thomas (65'), Blair (88')

Long (90+4')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Cheltenham
1-1
Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd win 4-1 on penalties
Dawson (64')
Varney (39'), Alcock (50'), Addai (90')
Brannagan (45')
Brannagan (36')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
3-4
Cheltenham
Johnson (21'), Obika (31'), Fernandez (42')
Nelson (73'), Ledson (80'), Ruffels (93')
Eisa (9', 99'), Wright (66', 90')
Storer (78')
Jan 3, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
Cheltenham
Burns (20')
Whing (11')
Dunn (40'), Stewart (45')
Jones (16'), Stewart (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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