League One

League One | Gameweek 6

Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Perry (63')
Chapman (43'), Taylor (84'), Ferry (90'), Lloyd (90+3'), Norton (90+4')
Chapman (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Brannagan (66', 86' pen.)
Joseph (61'), Bodin (70'), Taylor (90'), Brannagan (90+4')
Bodin (74')

Coverage of the League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Oxford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Forest Green Rovers	4	-3	4
21	Cheltenham Town	5	-3	4
22	MK Dons	5	-4	4

Oxford United

Last Six:

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-2 Crystal Palace
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Shrewsbury Town	5	-3	5
19	Oxford United	5	-2	4
20	Forest Green Rovers	4	-3	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Oxford United
20.46% ( 0.05)	23.3% ( 0.03)	56.23% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 51.49% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.61% (

-0.09)

48.38% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.48% (

-0.08)

70.52% (

0.08)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.05% (

-0)

37.95% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.28%

74.72%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.99% (

-0.06)

17.01% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.85% (

-0.11)

47.15% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 20.46%

Oxford United 56.22%

Draw 23.3%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.54% 3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 20.46%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.3%	0-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 56.22%