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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Oxford United |
58.32% ( 0.03) | 22.67% ( -0) | 19.01% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.12% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.3% ( -0.02) | 47.71% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.1% ( -0.02) | 69.9% ( 0.02) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.95% ( 0) | 16.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.59% ( 0.01) | 45.41% ( -0.01) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.89% ( -0.04) | 39.11% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.17% ( -0.04) | 75.83% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.18% Total : 58.31% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 19.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |