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League One
Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Oxford United

Port Vale
0 - 0
Oxford Utd


Massey (44'), Smith (45'), Benning (45+4'), Pett (60'), Worrall (74')
Politic (90+2')
FT

McGuane (58'), Joseph (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Port Vale and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Port Vale
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Sheff Weds
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Oxford United

 Oxford will be desperate to claim their first win since January, but having failed to win on their last four trips to Vale Park, we think that they will have to settle for a point on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawOxford United
35.31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 28.13%36.57% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.26% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.95% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)30.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)67.01% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 35.3%
    Oxford United 36.57%
    Draw 28.12%
Port ValeDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 7.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 35.3%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 11.44%
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 36.57%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Oxford Utd

Port Vale
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Oxford United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
4-0
Port Vale
Bodin (10', 62'), Taylor (27', 66')

Robinson (35')
Nov 3, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-0
Oxford Utd
Gunning (16'), Pope (53')
Myers-Harness (10'), Denton (36')

Thomas (42'), Martin (89')
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-0
Port Vale
Ruffles (14'), Maguire (82')

Streete (40')
Oct 22, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
2-2
Oxford Utd
Cicilia (54'), Taylor (59' pen.)
Mac-Intosch (26')
Dunkley (11'), Crowley (19')
Nelson (58'), Dunkley (65')
Mar 2, 2013 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Port Vale
Smalley (76'), Potter (10')
Batt (42'), Parker (54'), Capaldi (90')
Loft (16')
Jones (54'), Myrie-Williams (81'), Loft (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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