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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Portsmouth

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Portsmouth

Long (37')
Brannagan (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pack (26')
Lane (20'), Bernard (33'), Lowery (43'), Raggett (45'), Rafferty (69'), Thompson (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Portsmouth

Although Oxford are currently enduring a lengthy winless run, four of their last five matches have ended all square, and we think they will play out another draw when they face a Pompey side that have had to settle for a point in each of their previous three games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPortsmouth
31.76% (0.663 0.66) 26.16% (-0.101 -0.1) 42.08% (-0.564 -0.56)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.585 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.32% (0.63200000000001 0.63)51.68% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.54% (0.546 0.55)73.46% (-0.548 -0.55)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.774 0.77)30.33% (-0.776 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48% (0.913 0.91)66.52% (-0.914 -0.91)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)58.71% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 31.76%
    Portsmouth 42.08%
    Draw 26.16%
Oxford UnitedDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.42% (0.129 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.25% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 31.76%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.091 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 10.43% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-2 @ 8.8% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.37% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 42.08%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Portsmouth

Oxford United
52.6%
Draw
21.1%
Portsmouth
26.3%
19
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Portsmouth
3-2
Oxford Utd
Raggett (42'), Hirst (45+2'), Carter (58')
Carter (74')
Browne (3'), McNally (81')
Long (86')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-2
Portsmouth
McNally (6'), Brannagan (82'), Holland (90+6')
Brannagan (64'), Seddon (77'), Kane (80'), Moore (90+4')
Jacobs (10'), Curtis (51')
Jacobs (24'), Hirst (28'), Hume (45+4'), Curtis (81'), Bazunu (88'), Tunnicliffe (90+2'), Raggett (90+11')
Morrell (16')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Oxford Utd
Raggett (19')
Cannon (73'), Raggett (90+1')
Rodriguez (69' pen.)
Clare (52'), Taylor (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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