League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd1 - 1Portsmouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
We said: Oxford United 1-1 Portsmouth
Although Oxford are currently enduring a lengthy winless run, four of their last five matches have ended all square, and we think they will play out another draw when they face a Pompey side that have had to settle for a point in each of their previous three games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Portsmouth |
31.76% ( 0.66) | 26.16% ( -0.1) | 42.08% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 52.72% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.32% ( 0.63) | 51.68% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.54% ( 0.55) | 73.46% ( -0.55) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% ( 0.77) | 30.33% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.48% ( 0.91) | 66.52% ( -0.91) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( -0) | 24.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.29% ( -0.01) | 58.71% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Oxford United 31.76%
Portsmouth 42.08%
Draw 26.16%
| Oxford United | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.16% Total : 31.76% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.08% |
How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Portsmouth
Oxford United
52.6%Draw
21.1%Portsmouth
26.3%19
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Form Guide
