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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Burton Albion

Peterborough
0 - 1
Burton Albion

FT(HT: 0-0)
Bennett (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Peterborough United 4-1 Burton Albion

With a habit of smashing relegation-threatened teams at home, a dangerous Peterborough side should have no issues putting Burton to bed on Wednesday night. The Brewers are still sore from their FA Cup defeat to non-league Tamworth, so it is hard to imagine the visitors earning anything from their daunting trip to Weston Homes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 58.06%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 21.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 1-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBurton Albion
58.06% (1.324 1.32) 20.48% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 21.46% (-1.416 -1.42)
Both teams to score 62.79% (-2.442 -2.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.79% (-2.278 -2.28)34.2% (2.271 2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.9% (-2.617 -2.62)56.1% (2.612 2.61)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (-0.363 -0.36)11.69% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.22% (-0.78 -0.78)36.77% (0.772 0.77)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (-2.468 -2.47)28.9% (2.46 2.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (-3.169 -3.17)64.77% (3.164 3.16)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 58.06%
    Burton Albion 21.46%
    Draw 20.48%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.211 0.21)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.679 0.68)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.728 0.73)
3-1 @ 6.91% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.413 0.41)
3-2 @ 4.29% (-0.272 -0.27)
4-1 @ 3.71% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.181 0.18)
4-2 @ 2.3% (-0.182 -0.18)
5-1 @ 1.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.06 0.06)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 58.06%
1-1 @ 9% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 3.38% (0.382 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.248 -0.25)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.48%
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-1 @ 4.19% (0.209 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.307 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 21.46%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Burton Albion

Peterborough United
77.4%
Draw
19.4%
Burton Albion
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Burton Albion
1-3
Peterborough
Ola-Adebomi (70')
Oshilaja (46'), Hamer (87')
Jade-Jones (56'), Knight (88'), Clarke-Harris (90+6')
Katongo (61')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Peterborough
4-0
Burton Albion
Randall (6'), Mason-Clark (44'), Stockton (61' og.), Poku (66')
Jade-Jones (52')

Helm (9'), Oshilaja (37'), Stockton (54')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Burton Albion
2-5
Peterborough
Powell (28'), Smith (54')
Clarke-Harris (12', 51'), Mason-Clark (19'), Burrows (38'), Ward (64')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Burton Albion
2-1
Peterborough
Hemmings (54'), Carter (58')
Smith (6'), Brayford (68'), Carter (90+3')
Burrows (90+4')
Beevers (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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