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League One
Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Crawley Town

Northampton
3 - 0
Crawley

Fosu (16'), Williams (30' og.), Pinnock (55')
Fox (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Darcy (75'), Williams (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Northampton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

Crawley Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Crawley Town

 While Crawley did impress in their recent win, Northampton are in much better form heading into this game, and with them also boasting the home advantage, we expect the hosts to win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCrawley Town
36.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 25.2% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 38.59% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 57% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (0.026000000000003 0.03)46.61% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (0.024999999999999 0.02)68.88% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (0.010000000000005 0.01)25.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)59.85% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (0.026000000000003 0.03)58.04% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 36.21%
    Crawley Town 38.59%
    Draw 25.19%
Northampton TownDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.59%

How you voted: Northampton vs Crawley

Northampton Town
46.2%
Draw
30.8%
Crawley Town
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Northampton
1-0
Crawley
Sowerby (79')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Crawley
2-3
Northampton
Balagizi (4', 61')
Hoskins (13', 23'), Bowie (90+2')
Hylton (90+6')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Northampton
0-1
Crawley

Horsfall (90+3')
Nichols (41')
Lynch (9'), Ashford (87')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Crawley
0-0
Northampton
Powell (83')
Connolly (90')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 23
Crawley
4-0
Northampton
Ferguson (27'), Lubala (62'), Palmer (80'), Bloomfield (84')

McCormack (44'), Wharton (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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