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League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Crawley Town

Northampton
3 - 0
Crawley

Fosu (16'), Williams (30' og.), Pinnock (55')
Fox (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Darcy (75'), Williams (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Northampton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Crawley Town

While Crawley did impress in their recent win, Northampton are in much better form heading into this game, and with them also boasting the home advantage, we expect the hosts to win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCrawley Town
36.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 25.2% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 38.59% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 57% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (0.026000000000003 0.03)46.61% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (0.024999999999999 0.02)68.88% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (0.010000000000005 0.01)25.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)59.85% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (0.026000000000003 0.03)58.04% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 36.21%
    Crawley Town 38.59%
    Draw 25.19%
Northampton TownDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.59%

How you voted: Northampton vs Crawley

Northampton Town
46.2%
Draw
30.8%
Crawley Town
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Crawley
2-3
Northampton
Balagizi (4', 61')
Hoskins (13', 23'), Bowie (90+2')
Hylton (90+6')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Northampton
0-1
Crawley

Horsfall (90+3')
Nichols (41')
Lynch (9'), Ashford (87')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 23
Crawley
4-0
Northampton
Ferguson (27'), Lubala (62'), Palmer (80'), Bloomfield (84')

McCormack (44'), Wharton (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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