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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
35.85% | 27.29% | 36.86% |
Both teams to score 50% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.49% | 55.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.31% | 76.69% |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.4% | 29.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.37% | 65.63% |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.02% | 28.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.13% | 64.87% |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.85% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |