Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.