Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.