League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Oct 2, 2021 at 3pm UK

Reebok Stadium

Bolton
2 - 1
Shrewsbury

Sarcevic (18'), Afolayan (23')
Santos (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Leahy (89')
Bennett (90+6'), Bennett (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
46.13%	26.31%	27.55%

Both teams to score 50.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.88%

54.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.46%

75.54%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.58%

23.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.59%

57.41%

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.3%

34.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.57%

71.42%

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 46.13%

Shrewsbury Town 27.55%

Draw 26.31%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 8.56% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.77% Total : 46.13%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 8.13% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.16% Total : 27.55%