Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.