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League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Burton Albion

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Yengi (45+3' pen., 63')
Peart-Harris (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brayford (80')
Helm (14'), Brayford (24'), Crocombe (34'), Carayol (83'), Sweeney (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Peterborough
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 3-1 Burton Albion

 Burton have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent away games, but we think that their four-game unbeaten away run will ultimately come to an end against a Portsmouth side that has recorded four consecutive home victories. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawBurton Albion
64.99% (0.081999999999994 0.08) 20.42% (-0.061 -0.06) 14.58% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.01% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25% (0.201 0.2)45.74% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94% (0.191 0.19)68.06% (-0.19699999999999 -0.2)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.7% (0.082999999999998 0.08)13.29% (-0.089 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.88% (0.176 0.18)40.12% (-0.182 -0.18)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.52% (0.087000000000003 0.09)43.47% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.31% (0.072000000000003 0.07)79.69% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 64.98%
    Burton Albion 14.58%
    Draw 20.42%
PortsmouthDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 11.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.66% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.99% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 64.98%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 20.42%
0-1 @ 4.81% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 14.58%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Burton Albion

Portsmouth
85.5%
Draw
10.9%
Burton Albion
3.6%
55
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Burton Albion
0-2
Portsmouth

Baah (19'), Seddon (71')
Seddon (90')
Bishop (38' pen.), Robertson (63')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Portsmouth
1-0
Burton Albion
Scarlett (90+2')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Burton Albion
0-2
Portsmouth
Hughes (59' og.), Bishop (87')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Portsmouth
2-1
Burton Albion
Raggett (33'), Jacobs (41')
Raggett (5'), Curtis (34')
Ahadme (50')
Mancienne (18'), Powell (29'), Taylor (47'), Chapman (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Burton Albion
2-1
Portsmouth
O'Connor (32'), Jebbison (60')
Smith (36'), Lakin (49'), Jebbison (63')
Hackett-Fairchild (64')
Raggett (83'), Brown (85'), Hackett-Fairchild (86'), Harness (90+2')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
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14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
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21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
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> League One Full Table


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