MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 16:47:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Burton Albion

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Yengi (45+3' pen., 63')
Peart-Harris (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brayford (80')
Helm (14'), Brayford (24'), Crocombe (34'), Carayol (83'), Sweeney (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Peterborough
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 3-1 Burton Albion

 Burton have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent away games, but we think that their four-game unbeaten away run will ultimately come to an end against a Portsmouth side that has recorded four consecutive home victories. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawBurton Albion
64.99% (0.081999999999994 0.08) 20.42% (-0.061 -0.06) 14.58% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.01% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25% (0.201 0.2)45.74% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94% (0.191 0.19)68.06% (-0.19699999999999 -0.2)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.7% (0.082999999999998 0.08)13.29% (-0.089 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.88% (0.176 0.18)40.12% (-0.182 -0.18)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.52% (0.087000000000003 0.09)43.47% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.31% (0.072000000000003 0.07)79.69% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 64.98%
    Burton Albion 14.58%
    Draw 20.42%
PortsmouthDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 11.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.66% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.99% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 64.98%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 20.42%
0-1 @ 4.81% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 14.58%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Burton Albion

Portsmouth
85.5%
Draw
10.9%
Burton Albion
3.6%
55
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Burton Albion
0-2
Portsmouth

Baah (19'), Seddon (71')
Seddon (90')
Bishop (38' pen.), Robertson (63')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Portsmouth
1-0
Burton Albion
Scarlett (90+2')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Burton Albion
0-2
Portsmouth
Hughes (59' og.), Bishop (87')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Portsmouth
2-1
Burton Albion
Raggett (33'), Jacobs (41')
Raggett (5'), Curtis (34')
Ahadme (50')
Mancienne (18'), Powell (29'), Taylor (47'), Chapman (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Burton Albion
2-1
Portsmouth
O'Connor (32'), Jebbison (60')
Smith (36'), Lakin (49'), Jebbison (63')
Hackett-Fairchild (64')
Raggett (83'), Brown (85'), Hackett-Fairchild (86'), Harness (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101
> League One Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!