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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 55.41%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portsmouth in this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Oxford United |
55.41% ( 0.01) | 22.2% ( -0) | 22.38% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.91% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.79% ( -0) | 41.21% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.39% ( -0) | 63.6% ( 0) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.22% ( 0) | 14.78% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.97% ( 0) | 43.03% ( -0.01) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.95% ( -0.01) | 32.05% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.48% ( -0.01) | 68.52% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Oxford United |
2-1 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.71% 5-1 @ 1.15% 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 55.41% | 1-1 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 22.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |