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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
62.52% ( -0.02) | 22.05% ( 0.01) | 15.43% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.03% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.17% ( -0.02) | 50.83% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.29% ( -0.02) | 72.71% ( 0.02) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.29% ( -0.01) | 15.71% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.21% ( -0.02) | 44.79% ( 0.03) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.61% ( 0) | 45.38% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.76% ( 0) | 81.24% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 13.19% 2-0 @ 12.21% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 7.53% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 62.51% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.68% Total : 22.04% | 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |