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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
35.9% ( 0.17) | 26.11% ( 0.05) | 37.99% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 53.84% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.33% ( -0.2) | 50.66% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.43% ( -0.17) | 72.57% ( 0.17) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.78% ( 0.01) | 27.22% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.36% ( 0.01) | 62.64% ( -0.01) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.97% ( -0.21) | 26.03% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.94% ( -0.28) | 61.06% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.9% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |