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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Burton Albion

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Saydee (13'), Bowman (66')
Dunkley (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-4 Port Vale
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-3 Burton Albion
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Burton Albion

The two sides head into Saturday's contest off the back of contrasting results from their last two matches, with Burton seeking to claim a third successive win in all competitions. However, we expect a response from Shrewsbury in front of their own fans and they should do enough to claim at least a draw at New Meadow. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBurton Albion
35.9% (0.167 0.17) 26.11% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 37.99% (-0.214 -0.21)
Both teams to score 53.84% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.33% (-0.196 -0.2)50.66% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (-0.172 -0.17)72.57% (0.17399999999999 0.17)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.209 -0.21)26.03% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.281 -0.28)61.06% (0.282 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 35.9%
    Burton Albion 37.99%
    Draw 26.1%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.074 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.9%
1-1 @ 12.4% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.54% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.99%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Burton Albion

Shrewsbury Town
83.3%
Draw
5.6%
Burton Albion
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
0-1
Burton Albion

Leahy (76')
Brayford (31')
David Leak (61'), Powell (87')
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Nov 3, 2020 6pm
Shrewsbury
1-1
Burton Albion
Udoh (90+9')
Udoh (65'), Daniels (76'), Ebanks-Landell (88')
Hemmings (59')
Edwards (24'), O'Hara (86'), Varney (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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