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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Fleetwood Town

Portsmouth
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Koroma (7')
Morrell (65'), Raggett (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mendes Gomes (15')
Rooney (10'), Mendes Gomes (32'), Earl (57'), Batty (83'), Vela (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 Fleetwood Town

Although Fleetwood are unbeaten in their previous four away games, we think that they lose narrowly to a Portsmouth side, who have won four of their last five home matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 15.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawFleetwood Town
64.45% (-0.102 -0.1) 20.37% (0.023 0.02) 15.18% (0.083 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.67% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.7% (0.065000000000005 0.07)44.29% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.33% (0.061999999999998 0.06)66.67% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)13.01% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.46% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)39.53% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.24% (0.151 0.15)41.76% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (0.131 0.13)78.22% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 64.43%
    Fleetwood Town 15.18%
    Draw 20.37%
PortsmouthDrawFleetwood Town
2-0 @ 11.29% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 64.43%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.37%
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.22% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.07% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 15.18%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Fleetwood

Portsmouth
72.7%
Draw
27.3%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
3-3
Fleetwood
Curtis (45' pen.), Harness (80'), O'Brien (90+5')
Curtis (50')
Pilkington (7'), Biggins (15'), Lane (41')
Lane (57'), Cairns (73'), Harrison (82')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Portsmouth
0-0
Fleetwood

Curtis (12'), Whatmough (31'), Williams (34'), Harness (41')

Madden (31'), Andrew (41'), Burns (45+1'), Duffy (90+4')
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Fleetwood
Raggett (36'), Souttar (48' og.)
Curtis (68'), Harrison (90')
McKay (19'), Souttar (55')
Whelan (10'), Gibson (43'), Connolly (68'), McKay (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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