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Championship header 2

League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Fleetwood Town

Portsmouth
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Koroma (7')
Morrell (65'), Raggett (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mendes Gomes (15')
Rooney (10'), Mendes Gomes (32'), Earl (57'), Batty (83'), Vela (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 5-0 Aston Villa U21s
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 Fleetwood Town

 Although Fleetwood are unbeaten in their previous four away games, we think that they lose narrowly to a Portsmouth side, who have won four of their last five home matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 15.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawFleetwood Town
64.45% (-0.102 -0.1) 20.37% (0.023 0.02) 15.18% (0.083 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.67% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.7% (0.065000000000005 0.07)44.29% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.33% (0.061999999999998 0.06)66.67% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)13.01% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.46% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)39.53% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.24% (0.151 0.15)41.76% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (0.131 0.13)78.22% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 64.43%
    Fleetwood Town 15.18%
    Draw 20.37%
PortsmouthDrawFleetwood Town
2-0 @ 11.29% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 64.43%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.37%
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.22% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.07% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 15.18%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Fleetwood

Portsmouth
72.7%
Draw
27.3%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
3-3
Fleetwood
Curtis (45' pen.), Harness (80'), O'Brien (90+5')
Curtis (50')
Pilkington (7'), Biggins (15'), Lane (41')
Lane (57'), Cairns (73'), Harrison (82')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Fleetwood
0-1
Portsmouth
Brown (60')
Brown (24'), Curtis (43'), Freeman (63')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Fleetwood
0-1
Portsmouth
Marquis (16')
Whatmough (36')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Portsmouth
0-0
Fleetwood

Curtis (12'), Whatmough (31'), Williams (34'), Harness (41')

Madden (31'), Andrew (41'), Burns (45+1'), Duffy (90+4')
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Fleetwood
Raggett (36'), Souttar (48' og.)
Curtis (68'), Harrison (90')
McKay (19'), Souttar (55')
Whelan (10'), Gibson (43'), Connolly (68'), McKay (77')
rhs 2.0
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Lions
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91
> League One Full Table


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