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League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Oxford United

Peterborough
3 - 0
Oxford Utd

Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bodin (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Peterborough United 1-1 Oxford United

Peterborough have not lost to Oxford in their last six competitive meetings, but the visitors are different this season. The home side have been great in front of their fans, while Oxford have been solid on the road as well. We predict a close match with the score level at the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawOxford United
53.45% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 22.26% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 24.28% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 60.15% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (0.081000000000003 0.08)39.34% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (0.086000000000006 0.09)61.68% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (0.049999999999997 0.05)14.77% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (0.091999999999999 0.09)43.02% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (0.01700000000001 0.02)29.41% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (0.021999999999998 0.02)65.41% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 53.45%
    Oxford United 24.29%
    Draw 22.25%
Peterborough UnitedDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 9.72%
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 53.45%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 24.29%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Bodin (52')
Taylor (7'), Poku (31')
Jul 27, 2021 5.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
0-0
Peterborough
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Ruffels (45+1')
Long (12'), Shodipo (53')
Dembele (23'), Broom (63')
Hamilton (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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