Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.62%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.