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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | MK Dons |
24.99% | 25.15% | 49.86% |
Both teams to score 51.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.68% | 51.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.85% | 73.14% |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.68% | 35.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.92% | 72.07% |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.4% | 20.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.86% | 53.14% |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 7.57% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.02% Total : 24.99% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 7.27% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 1% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 11.49% 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-2 @ 9.08% 1-3 @ 4.98% 0-3 @ 4.78% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.89% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.61% Total : 49.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |