Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.