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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
64.5% ( 0.02) | 19.55% ( -0.02) | 15.95% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.38% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.01% ( 0.08) | 38.99% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.69% ( 0.08) | 61.31% ( -0.08) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.59% ( 0.03) | 11.4% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.83% ( 0.06) | 36.16% ( -0.06) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.51% ( 0.04) | 37.48% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.73% ( 0.04) | 74.26% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.14% Total : 64.49% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.55% | 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 15.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |