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Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Bristol Rovers

Plymouth
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Ennis (51'), Gillesphey (56')
Matete (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Evans (13'), Barton (14'), Loft (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Bristol Rovers

While Plymouth have not necessarily been at their best of late, they have still managed to churn out a number of key victories. We feel that will remain the same on Tuesday, leading us to predict another win with a clean sheet being posted in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol Rovers
64.5% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 19.55% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 15.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.01% (0.075000000000003 0.08)38.99% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.69% (0.079000000000001 0.08)61.31% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59% (0.027000000000001 0.03)11.4% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.83% (0.061 0.06)36.16% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.51% (0.039000000000001 0.04)37.48% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.73% (0.039000000000001 0.04)74.26% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 64.49%
    Bristol Rovers 15.95%
    Draw 19.55%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol Rovers
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.88% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 64.49%
1-1 @ 9.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.55%
1-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 15.95%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Bristol Rovers

Plymouth Argyle
88.1%
Draw
7.1%
Bristol Rovers
4.8%
42
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Plymouth

Loft (85'), Thomas (90+5')
Waine (24'), Hardie (32')
Matete (71'), Lonwijk (77'), Ennis (88')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
2-2
Plymouth
Coburn (47'), Collins (57')
Azaz (14'), Randell (45+2')
Houghton (23')
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Plymouth
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Plymouth win 4-3 on penalties
Hardie (58' pen.)
Whittaker (37')
Loft (50')
Saunders (60'), Rossiter (88')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
gameweek 37
Plymouth
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Ennis (7', 45')
Ennis (18'), Opoku (39'), Lewis (75')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
gameweek 17
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Plymouth
Kilgour (7'), McCormick (26'), Westbrooke (85')
Upson (68')

Watts (40'), Fornah (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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