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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Derby logo

Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Derby

Evans (90+5' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGoldrick (4')
Cashin (50'), Wildsmith (60'), Forsyth (68'), Roberts (90+5'), Dobbin (90+1'), White (90+3')
Coverage of the League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-1 MK Dons
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawDerby County
23.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 24.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 52.33% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.09% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.5%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.34% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)49.45% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 23.6%
    Derby County 52.33%
    Draw 24.06%
Bristol RoversDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 6.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 6.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 23.6%
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 10.81%
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-2 @ 9.17%
1-3 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 52.33%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Derby
4-2
Bristol Rovers
McGoldrick (5', 24', 40'), Collins (12')
Thomas (35'), Evans (45+3')
Gordon (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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