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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Derby logo

Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Derby

Evans (90+5' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGoldrick (4')
Cashin (50'), Wildsmith (60'), Forsyth (68'), Roberts (90+5'), Dobbin (90+1'), White (90+3')
Coverage of the League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-1 MK Dons
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawDerby County
23.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 24.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 52.33% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.09% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.5%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.34% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)49.45% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 23.6%
    Derby County 52.33%
    Draw 24.06%
Bristol RoversDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 6.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 6.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 23.6%
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 10.81%
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-2 @ 9.17%
1-3 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 52.33%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Derby
4-2
Bristol Rovers
McGoldrick (5', 24', 40'), Collins (12')
Thomas (35'), Evans (45+3')
Gordon (23')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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