League One

League One | Gameweek 41

Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
2 - 1
Shrewsbury

Cadden (40'), Cole (45+2')
Andersen (29'), Connell (47')
Cadden (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Phillips (90+1')
Cotterill (30'), Bowman (31'), Pennington (76'), Moore (78'), Shipley (90+7'), Bloxham (90+8'), Phillips (90+8')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Barnsley and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Barnsley
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Peterborough
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barnsley 3-1 Shrewsbury Town

Barnsley have netted three goals or more in six of their last seven games at Oakwell, while Shrewsbury's wretched road form has not produced near enough goals of late. This seems a straightforward home win for the Tykes, with Duff's team expected to be superior to the visiting side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 10.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.08%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
70.12% ( 0.8)	18.92% ( -0.22)	10.97% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 43.32% (

-1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.34% (

-0.51)

47.66% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.14% (

-0.47)

69.86% (

0.48)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.61% (

0.08)

12.39% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.73% (

0.16)

38.27% (

-0.15)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.44% (

-1.37)

50.56% (

1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.96% (

-0.95)

85.04% (

0.96)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 70.11%

Shrewsbury Town 10.97%

Draw 18.92%

Barnsley	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
2-0 @ 13.65% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.87% Total : 70.11%	1-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.55% Total : 18.92%	0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.19% Total : 10.97%